1 1 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1418 174 Strength Momentum |
1299 64.8(3) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/21/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.002 | 1261 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 1399 | 66% | |
08/22/15 | at Onate | 0.002 | 1018 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-3) | 1278 | 86% | |
08/24/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.003 | 1338 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 1337 | 57% | |
08/26/15 | at La Cueva ?? | 0.004 | 1218 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-3) | 1277 | 71% | |
08/29/15 | at Del Norte | 0.000 | 784 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1630 | 97% | |
09/02/15 | at Manzano | 0.011 | 886 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1312 | 94% | |
09/04/15 | at Cleveland ! | 0.019 | 1414 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 1475 | 48% | |
09/08/15 | St. Pius | 0.033 | 1010 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-2) | 1304 | 90% | |
09/12/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.060 | 1399 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 1468 | 49% | |
09/15/15 | Eldorado | 0.085 | 1070 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1334 | 86% | |
09/17/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.101 | 1257 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1447 | 67% | |
09/19/15 | Albuquerque Academy | 0.139 | 1387 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 1343 | 56% | |
09/24/15 | at Santa Fe | 0.026 | 1162 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+7) | 1764 | 76% | |
09/26/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.207 | 1371 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1586 | 58% | |
09/30/15 | at Cibola !! | 0.386 | 1414 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 1476 | 48% | |
10/07/15 | Cleveland | 0.633 | 1414 | T 0- 0 | Worse (0) | 1406 | 53% | |
10/10/15 | Santa Fe | 0.613 | 1162 | W 4- 1 | Expected (0) | 1431 | 80% | |
10/14/15 | at Volcano Vista | 0.816 | 1371 | W 3- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1454 | 53% | |
10/17/15 | Cibola | 0.885 | 1414 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 1356 | 52% | |
10/24/15 | at Cleveland | 0.997 | 1414 | T 0- 0 | Better (0) | 1425 | 48% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Rio Rancho actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1299, while
Rio Rancho's "weighted playing strength" is 1424
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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